American Family News recently reported that nearly 100,000 Russian troops have amassed at Ukraine's border. And according to the Military Times, the director of Ukraine's defense agency anticipates that President Putin will attack by the end of January or early February 2022.
Bob Maginnis, senior fellow for national security at the Family Research Council (FRC), believes there is a 50-50 chance that Putin will attack.
"The question is whether or not we would respond, would NATO respond? If we don't respond, NATO won't respond," he submits. "That's a calculation that Putin is making. Putin has never given up the idea of the resurgence of the former Soviet Union. But his economy is suffering tremendously, and trying to resurrect that dream, I think, is an impossibility unless NATO crumbles. And then if NATO crumbles, he probably will step up his actions."
And Maginnis warns against misconstruing a Russian anti-satellite missile's recent satellite lockdown.
"It's a message against the United States and the West that is using its satellites to track Russian movements in the eastern part of Ukraine along the border there," the defense analyst explains. "They want to disable perhaps those satellites that are used as command and control and for information gathering about positioning of conventional forces and the like."
Maginnis adds that Biden is weak in the eyes of Putin and says, "We can thank the sad Afghan US military's withdrawal fiasco for fueling the Russian’s thinking."
